上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院金融学博士,西南财经大学金融学教授,博士生导师,四川省“天府万人计划”天府金融菁英项目入选者
邮箱: panzhiyuan@swufe.edu.cn
【研究领域】
金融计量,金融风险管理,金融工程,金融大数据分析
【学术简介】
在国内外知名期刊发表论文近40篇,其中包括Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Banking and Finance(高被引论文), Journal of Empirical Finance(3篇), Journal of Futures Markets(3篇),Quantitative Finance(2篇)等国外期刊以及《管理科学学报》,《金融研究》等国内期刊,主持国家自科青年项目1项(绩效评估:特优)、国家社科西部项目1项(结项:良好)和四川省社科重点项目(结项:优秀)。
【代表性论文( * 表示通讯作者)】
1. 潘志远, 刘莉, 刘子锐. 国际溢出, 国内基本面与期权定价. 管理科学学报, 2022, 25(6): 22-46.
2. Pan, Z., Wang Y., Huang, J. & Zhang, Y. (2025+) Adaptive group LASSO for the GARCH-MIDAS model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. (Forthcoming)
3. Wang, Y., Pan, Z.*, Liu, L., & Wu, C. (2019). Oil price increases and the predictability of equity premium. Journal of Banking & Finance, 102, 43-58.
4. Pan, Z., Wang, Y., Wu, C., & Yin, L. (2017). Oil price volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals: A regime switching GARCH-MIDAS model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 43, 130-142.
5. Pan, Z., Pettenuzzo, D., & Wang, Y. (2020). Forecasting stock returns: A predictor-constrained approach. Journal of Empirical Finance, 55, 200-217.
6. Wang, Y., Pan, Z.*, Wu, C., & Wu, W. (2020). Industry equi-correlation: A powerful predictor of stock returns. Journal of Empirical Finance, 59, 1-24.
7. Pan, Z., Wang, Y., Liu, L., & Wang, Q. (2019). Improving volatility prediction and option valuation using VIX information: A volatility spillover GARCH model. Journal of Futures Markets, 39(6), 744-776.
8. Pan, Z., Wang, Y., & Liu, L. (2021). Realized bipower variation, jump components, and option valuation. Journal of Futures Markets, 41(12), 1933-1958.
9. Pan, Z., Zhang, J., Wang, Y., & Huang, J. (2024). Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using the HARGARCH model with VIX information. Journal of Futures Markets, 44(8), 1383-1403.
10. Pan, Z., Bu, R., Liu, L., & Wang, Y. (2020). Macroeconomic fundamentals, jump dynamics and expected volatility. Quantitative Finance, 20(8), 1345-1371.
11. Pan, Z., Wang, Y., & Liu, L. (2021). Macroeconomic uncertainty and expected shortfall (and value at risk): a new dynamic semiparametric model. Quantitative Finance, 21(11), 1791-1805.
【代表性项目】
1. 主持,国家自科青年项目:国际金融危机背景下的金融资产配置管理: 基于泛函系数方法的研究(No. 71601161),2017.01-2019.12 (绩效评估:特优)
2. 主持,国家社科西部项目: 基于高维数据变量选择方法的系统性金融风险测度与预警研究(No. 21XJY007),2021.09-2024.06 (结项:良好)
3. 主持,省社科重点项目: 基于机器学习方法的区域性金融风险监测预警与处置机制研究(No. SCJJ23ND32), 2023.11-2024.11 (结项:优秀)